起原：财经会议圈 遂宁铁皮保温

　　拆解史上大IPO背后的老本收割游戏

　　华盛顿的“拦路虎”

　　2026年6月11日，就在SpaceX距离认真登陆纳斯达克仅剩不到24小时之际，封炸药味透彻的12页信函直抵好意思国证券往还委员会（SEC）。

　　发信东谈主不是别东谈主，恰是以“华尔街死敌”著称的民主党筹算员伊丽莎白·沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）。她在信中措辞热烈地要求SEC：必须迟SpaceX的IPO上市，这场“史上大限制IPO”对投资者保护和商场无缺组成了前所未有的阻碍。

　　沃伦在信中写下了句振聋发聩的告诫：

“你们必须迟该登记声明的生时分。SpaceX的IPO创造了个新问题：它正在控制主要的股市指数，将就数百万投资指数基金的庸碌散户在别采取的情况下，被迫承担SpaceX的巨大风险。”

　　这话听起来逆耳，但细看SpaceX的上市遐想，你会发现沃伦的担忧非杞东谈主忧天。

　　离谱的“口价”

　　135好意思元的买不买

　　传统IPO的玩法，大齐懂：投行先给个价钱区间，比如100-120好意思元，然后凭据商场认购情况终订价，这叫“价钱发现”。

　　但SpaceX不玩这套。

　　它径直甩出135好意思元/股的“口价”，买不买。

　　这在华尔街历史上为荒僻。公司估值达1.75万亿-2万亿好意思元，却连基本的商场博弈订价才略齐省了，摆明了即是“我说几许即是几许”。

　　离谱的是散户分拨比例。

　　好意思股成例IPO，散户份额频频唯有5-10，大多数份额齐会留给历久持有的机构基石投资者。但SpaceX反治其身，将30的IPO份额分拨给散户，金额达225亿好意思元。

　　外界渊博吹捧这是“让利散户、分享红利”，但专家看门谈：

机构投资者追求历久稳定、风险可控，是商场的压舱石；

散户受厚谊、公论、偶像滤镜驱动，盲目跟风、追涨跌，波动率。

　　马斯克领有纷乱的粉丝群体，他们会自愿造势、脑买入，短期强行股价。但后续只消出现任何负面舆情，即便公司基本面毫变化，股价也会因为散户厚谊垮塌而大幅跳水。

　　参考历史案例：Robinhood曾将35新股份额分给散户，上市后被散户爆炒至85好意思元，热度褪去后半年暴跌至15好意思元，位接盘散户全线套。

　　SpaceX本次散户占比，改日势必复刻同款走势：短期厚谊拉涨，历久散户买单。

　　估值泡沫

　　市销率100倍的天夜谭

　　SpaceX的估值到底有多离谱？咱们来望望硬数据。

　　2025年，SpaceX全年营收187亿好意思元，估值却冲破1.75万亿好意思元，市销率接近100倍。

　　作念个对比：

AI龙头Anthropic估值近万亿好意思元，市销率仅21倍；

OpenAI市销率也唯有34倍；

这两AI企业的营收增速，远于SpaceX，估值倍数却远低于它。

　　对比之下就能发现，所谓的AI泡沫，和SpaceX的估值泡沫比较，根柢不值提。

　　夸张的是，招股书中宣称公司远期潜在商场限制（TAM）达28.5万亿好意思元。这个数字是什么倡导？远全年20万亿的GDP体量，脱离现实贸易逻辑，闇练夸张造势。

　　还有马斯克的薪酬解锁条件：授予其10亿股、价值约6000亿好意思元的股权，解锁要求包括：

　　公司市值冲破7.5万亿好意思元；

　　完成火星侨民中枢布局；

　　在火星落地100万常住东谈主口。

　　这在职何理投资者看来，齐是天夜谭。但这即是投行的基本功：用业模子、海量数据、行业术语，把虚缥缈的故事包装得逻辑自洽、看似可行。

　　“包子式”包装

　　用星链包裹xAI的老本游戏

　　从线ECM投行分析师的专家视角来看，SpaceX的估值逻辑骨子上是套“层层嵌套包”模式：

　　用盈利稳定、现款流质的星链业务，包裹功绩惨淡、法立上市的xAI业务，形成“质资产兜底、劣质资产挂靠”的包子式结构。

　　来看2025年的果然财务数据：

星链部门：收入114亿好意思元，盈利72亿好意思元（唯质资产）；

火箭辐照部门：收入41亿好意思元，亏空6.62亿好意思元；

xAI部门：收入13亿好意思元，亏空130亿好意思元（纯纯的职守）。

　　看似三大中枢业务协同发力，实则唯有星链是中枢盈利资产，其余业务均为亏空职守。

　　这套包模式还实现了“废料欺骗、税务套利”：xAI长年络续亏空，单运营会致大批税务抵扣额度作废。而通过合座包上市，悉数亏空额度均可并入主体财报，正当抵扣利润、训斥合座税负。

　　这即是华尔街的果然玩法：所谓的公允估值、业模子，从来不是测算出来的，而是机构之间反复扯皮、博弈、息争出来的“商场合同数”。

　　纳斯达克的“法则”

　　被迫资金接盘局

　　为了确保上市收效，这次IPO的遐想可谓是煞记挂机，其中争议的莫过于纳斯达克门为SpaceX修改法则。

　　法则修改内容：将纳入纳斯达克100指数的时分从3个月镌汰至15天，而且是加权纳入（权重别离理拉3倍）。

　　这意味着什么？

　　好意思国有大批被迫指数基金、养老基金、401K退休金账户，会自动买入纳斯达克100身分股。也即是说，只消熬过15天，就不错用老庶民的待业金来给SpaceX接盘了。

　　据测算，仅被迫基金强制建树的资金就达100-200亿好意思元。

　　扎眼的资金早已提前布局：提前廉价建仓，恭候指数纳入、被迫资金进场后位套现。重迭散户狂热购、主动基金布局、中东热钱涌入，上市初期流通股稀缺，股价势必被拉升，制造致的赢利应。

　　这场狂欢的终脚本，早已注定：

　　上市拉升后，马斯克、早期激动、中枢职工融会过新股增发、股票质押贷款等式络续套现（马斯克历来偏好质押套现，特斯拉时期亦是如斯）。里面利益离场已矣后，股价终将回首基本面，悉数浮亏、泡沫风险，悉数由后进场的机构和散户连续。

　　而这些机构资金，骨子亦然庸碌东谈主的养老钱、搭理钱。

　　星链业务遇瓶颈

　　对好意思军“趁火劫”

　　许多东谈主不知谈的是，星链业务一经涉及瓶颈，连带火箭辐照业务的改日订单也存疑。

　　来看数据：

2025年季度，星链用户限制1030万，比去年翻了倍，但客岁然而翻了三倍的，增速明下滑；

可怕的是增长是若何来的？平均每用户收入（ARPU）从2023年的99好意思元/月降到2024年的91好意思元，再降到2025年的80好意思元，到2025年季度一经暴降至66好意思元。

　　是靠降价换量、价钱战！

　　原因不难领路：若是你住在纽约、东京、上海，根柢不会用星链。星链即是给偏远地区用的，但偏远地区之是以偏远，即是因为东谈主少。To C端增长见顶了。

　　那若何办？只可对军加价。

　　前段时分好意思军在战场大批使用名为“卢卡斯”的次东谈主机，内置星链终局。前哨激战正酣，SpaceX蓦地要求将网罗用度翻5倍，从原先的5000好意思元/月径直涨到25000好意思元/月。

　　根由是：你正本买的是“大地套餐”，推行用在遨游器上，就得按“遨游器套餐”付款。

　　成果服软的竟然是好意思军！媒体扣问负责东谈主，他只说SpaceX依然是“踏实可靠的历久衔接伙伴”。

　　这件事充分说明：SpaceX一经具备对军的议价才气，但这也暴显露其实体业务增长乏力的窘态现实。

　　沃伦的三大“地雷”指控

　　沃伦在致SEC的信中，详备列举了SpaceX在财务和理上的三大“地雷”：

　　1． xAI收购案可能存在司帐作秀或估值误

　　SpaceX收购马斯克另公司xAI的经由中，往还订价是否公允？是否存在通过关联往还摇荡利益？这些问题齐需要SEC彻查。

　　2． 马斯克个东谈主利益与公司利益存在严重冲突

　　马斯克同期是SpaceX和xAI的大激动，两公司之间的往还，骨子上是“左手倒右手”。这种利益运输的风险，在IPO招股书中是否被充分暴露？

　　3． 马斯克在公司里面领有断行的权力，缺少有制衡

　　面前马斯克手抓SpaceX 82的投票权，意味着这近2万亿估值的行业巨头，由他东谈主掌控，莫得任何机构或激动大约制衡、过问。

　　成也创举东谈主，险也创举东谈主。 以前两年，马斯克度千里醉AI和天外数据中心赛谈，这意味着改日很长段时分，SpaceX将络续过问多数老本用于新业务研发和布局，重资产过问之下，战术造作、过问失败的风险。

　　老本张惶

　　为什么急着上市？

　　许多东谈主会问：SpaceX明明不错毋庸上市，为什么马斯克这样浮躁？

　　谜底很浅显：这不是企业发展需要，而是老本的集体张惶。

　　原因：全球风投行业迎来数十年严峻的退出危机

　　宇宙经济论坛5月发布的新数据示：

刻下全球未上市的角兽企业中，20已成立15年，59已成立10年；

企业从种子轮到轮退出的周期，比较2022年拉长了45。

　　行业成例法则里，风投基金对LP的痛快退出周期仅为10年。这意味着，半数角兽早已出商定退出期限，大批风投资金历久被套牢。

　　原因二：AI行业度钱，融资窗口期顷然

　　OpenAI去年亏空80亿好意思元，Anthropic去年亏空30亿好意思元，且两企业改日数年仍将络续大额钱。

　　业内渊博合计，AI行业泡沫果决存在，仅仅没东谈主能预判离散时分。马斯克急于落地IPO，即是为了占位窗口期，锁定万亿估值，提前回避后续商场下降风险。

　　原因三：占AI老本红利的末班车

　　当下是全球商场对AI倡导溢价、资金狂热的阶段。SpaceX先完成IPO，大约领先吸干华尔街悉数AI+天外赛谈的增量资金。

　　端老本博弈向来朴素：先到先得、先上市先收割。

　　三个阶段：看清洗时刻

　　SpaceX上市必须看准三个阶段：

　　阶段：看上市今日能否不破发

　　若是流通盘这样小（仅开释5股份）、承销团这样强、机构认购这样热还能破发，说明商场其实一经虚透了。

　　二阶段：看上市后15到30天

　　能否奏凯纳入纳斯达克100指数，把筹码收效交给被迫基金（待业金）。

　　三阶段：看半年后大激动解禁

　　5的流通比例意味着95的股份在IPO时处于锁定状态。半年后（12月初），这些股份将拔除锁定。那些在几十亿、几百亿估值时入场的早期激动，将靠近十几倍、几十倍致使上百倍的暴利退出契机。

　　那将是若何的场腥风雨？

　　谁是大的赢？

　　这场顶老本盛宴里，收益圈层度分化。

　　信得过的赢唯有三类：

　　持股42的马斯克本东谈主——上市后钞票将冲破万亿，成为全球位万亿大亨；

　　共计持股10-15的公司中枢职工——早期入局，成本低；

　　早期入局的风投契构与激动——终于比及退出时刻。

　　除此以外，21承销投行是大的隐形赢。

　　本年投行行业渊博低迷、降薪裁人，而SpaceX这个形貌，就能让悉数参与投行团队额盈利。后续还能络续解锁二商场增发、可转债、并购往还、大量往还、股票回购等络续业务，号称投行的“年度飞升形貌”，年顶往年五年收益。

　　而输呢？ 遂宁铁皮保温

　　悉数脱离基本面的估值狂欢，终齐会回首均值。狂欢闭幕之后，历久是后进场的庸碌东谈主承担悉数风险。

　　历史的循环

　　运河狂热与天外泡沫

　　后，让咱们用个经典历史案例帮大看懂骨子。

　　19世纪全球掀翻运河狂热，苏伊士运河、巴拿马运河开凿前夜，数法国中产狂募资入局。终巴拿马运河公司1889年停业，初代投资者尽数本归。

　　但运河终收效通航，改写了全球贸易形态，造福了后续上百年的全球经济和数行业。可初代的基建投资者，简直莫得吃到任何期间红利。

　　如今的SpaceX、追捧它的华尔街老本，何尝不是当年的运河狂热？

　　我从不否定SpaceX的伟大，也不否定天外经济的星辰大海，但手脚庸碌投资者，咱们定要克制对个东谈主英杰主张的珍摄、对科幻疯狂叙事的效力。

　　沃伦的告诫，不该被冷落

　　SpaceX是实体产业的颠覆者，却是老本商场的收割者。

　　它用致求实破了传统的暴利与僵化，却用致老本套路，造了场属于顶圈层的泡沫盛宴。

　　伊丽莎白·沃伦的告诫，不该被冷落。

　　SEC是否会在政压力下叫停这场“老本狂欢”？马斯克将如何反击这位“死仇敌”的狙击？周五的上市规划是否会突遭变数？

　　这切，齐将在改日48小时内揭晓。

　　但论成果如何，庸碌投资者齐应该记取句话：

　　悉数脱离基本面的估值狂欢，终齐会回首均值。狂欢闭幕之后，历久是后进场的庸碌东谈主承担悉数风险。

　　这是封好意思国筹算院银行、住房与城市事务委员会成员伊丽莎白·沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）于2026年6月9日写给好意思国证券往还委员会（SEC）主席保罗·阿特金斯（Paul Atkins）的信函，要求SEC迟SpaceX的IPO注册声明生。

　　以下是全文翻译：

　　好意思国筹算院银行、住房与城市事务委员会华盛顿特区 20510-6075

　　2026年6月9日

　　尊敬的保罗·阿特金斯主席： 好意思国证券往还委员会 东北F街100号 华盛顿特区 20549

　　阿特金斯主席：

　　我怀着度祥和的形式，就天外探索本事公司（Space Exploration Technologies Corp．，简称“SpaceX”）行将进行的次公开募股（IPO）致函您。

　　据报谈，由埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）领有的航空和东谈主工智能公司SpaceX，规划在本月晚些时候以达2万亿好意思元的估值向投资者召募达750亿好意思元——这将使其成为“史上大限制的股市秀”。然而，这次IPO似乎对庸碌投资者偏激退休储蓄组成要紧风险，同期为SpaceX里面东谈主士（包括特朗普政府官员）带来巨大利益。

　　与SpaceX公开募股有关的风险源于该公司向证券往还委员会（“SEC”或“委员会”）提交的备案文献偏激他公开报谈中揭示的系列问题：先，SpaceX瞻望将以约100倍2025年营收的价钱刊行股票——这估值倍数简直，需要投资者对AI和天外两个域的诸多假定抱以大信心；其次，非传统的公经理结构将使SpaceX席实行官埃隆·马斯克领有前所未有的权力，而投资者赢得的职权将远低于传统公开股票购买者频频享有的职权；三，主要股指提供商正在改写法则，为SpaceX快速进入其指数——以及驱动数百万好意思国东谈主退休储蓄的投资基金——铺平谈路。

　　终的成果可能是可怜的：若是SpaceX的估值崩溃，退休东谈主员和庭的投资者账户将遭遇损失，且对任何公司欠妥行径简直莫得追索权，而地球上裕如的东谈主则因缺少监管而变得加裕如。SEC的中枢做事是保护投资者，爱戴公道、有序和的商场。鉴于史上大限制IPO对投资者保护和商场诚信组成的前所未有的阻碍，您必须迟任何加快注册声明生的行径。

　　在允许公司向公众出售其股票之前，委员会必须探讨“全球利益和投资者保护”。在此经由中，委员会不错审查公司的初步招股说明书，以“证明其是否恰当适用的司帐法式和联邦证券法律律例的暴露要求”。仅SpaceX IPO的巨大限制，在泛泛情况下就足以证明SEC进行仔细审查和关注投资者需求的合理。但这些并非泛泛情况：诸多特等因素加重了担忧，并要求SEC采纳行动以履行其投资者保护和商场诚信职责，即迟注册声明的生。

　　SpaceX的估值与司帐

　　SpaceX股票的价值——论是当今如故可料念念的改日——似乎斥地在系列特的投契事件之上。据《金融时报》报谈，SpaceX面前的财务气象“对于算计公司价值毫用处”，部分原因是评估尚不存在的步履的固有挑战，但这些步履可能成为做事崇（“将剖析之光蔓延到星辰”）的公司增长的部分。据晨星（Morningstar）的份报告，SpaceX的价值可能不到其1.75万亿好意思元估值的半。

　　事实上，“以《金融时报》此前报谈的1.75万亿好意思元估值算计，SpaceX将成为好意思国股市七大公司。然而，按每年190亿好意思元的营收名次，它仅位列200位，与幸运符麦片制造商通用磨坊（General Mills）十分。”商场“从未有过对只如斯投契却又如斯纷乱的股票进行订价的前例”，“大的问题是，达1.8万亿好意思元的估值能否在公开商场中络续”。部分问题在于准确评估SpaceX的崇筹办（包括天外旅行和星际居住）是不行能的。但这亦然该公司络续亏空和未能实现以前筹办的居品。因此，商场分析师对其筹办估值背后的数学逻辑提议了质疑，称之为“无理的”、“烟幕弹式的司帐”和“信得过脱离现实的”。若是该估值法络续，采取以估值买入的投资者——或因投资于指数基金而被迫买入的投资者，而这些基金自己基于已修改法则以纳入SpaceX的指数——将为此付出代价。

　　此外，IPO的估值部分由SpaceX与xAI的2026年团结决定。由于埃隆·马斯克身处往还双，“他躬行与我方谈判往还，我方设定相对估值，我方签署团结协议，我方完成往还，然后才奉告董事会和激动”。这让马斯克有契机将xAI的估值抬到过其资产价值的水平——换句话说，单面决定我方往还的价值——并将其纳入行将进行的IPO。SEC应评估SpaceX与xAI之间（以及埃隆·马斯克限制的其他公司组成的无缺网罗）的往还和联系是否因不准确或误的司帐或估值而对投资者组成风险。鉴于稠密主动和被迫投资者将裸露于SpaceX的风险之下，缺少基本面撑持的估值可能阻碍咱们老本商场的无缺和稳定。

　　SpaceX-xAI团结是马斯克先生限制的不同贸易实体之间系列共同限制往还中的例——激发了对于SpaceX改日规划与其限制的公司进行整合的任何疑问。举例，正如贸易媒体测的那样，若是特斯拉（Tesla）和SpaceX团结，可能立即触发马斯克先生1万亿好意思元的特斯拉薪酬案，因为限制权变条件将取消此前解锁股票所需的功绩条件。将这些新的特斯拉股票挪动为新的SpaceX股票可能对SpaceX激动产生要紧影响。若是如实存在将特斯拉和SpaceX团结的规划，此类规划应向潜在投资者暴露，因为它们应被视为对公司业务战术和公开募股后续价值具有要紧遑急的事项。鉴于SpaceX的S-1备案文献未说起此类团结对SpaceX估值的影响——尽管它承认与马斯克先生其他企业的业务往还可能发生——SEC应在加快SpaceX注册声明生之前，对马斯克先生对于其稠密苍劲企业悉数权结构的改日意图进行看望。

　　IPO后的公经理

　　IPO还激发担忧，因为SpaceX的IPO后公经理结构侵蚀了基本的激动职权，并将人命关天的公司权力授予马斯克先生。公开往还公经理当付其激动负责。SpaceX的IPO将颠覆这模式，激动提供数十亿好意思元的新老本，却莫得任何对马斯克先生或公司层的问责措施，因为公司“结合了投票权股票、强制仲裁、严格的激动提案法则以及德克萨斯州公司法，将限制权赋予SpaceX席实行官埃隆·马斯克和其他里面东谈主士。SpaceX还将放置投资者挑战惩办层、在法庭告状以及强制召开代理权争夺的才气”。

　　正如先的公司法学者所言，“即使是马斯克的珍摄者，也应该对SpaceX的公经理感到不安”。

　　SpaceX的初步招股说明书标明，公司将守护双重股权结构，马斯克先生持有的每股股票的投票权是向公众发售的每股股票的10倍。这种不对称将褫夺激动对要紧公司决议（如收购、剥离或重组）的任何权力。正如公司招股说明书所承认的，“马斯克先生将大约限制需要激动批准的事项的成果”。此外，拟议的公经理结构实质上褫夺了董事会的惩办公司权力，使其法罢黜席实行官：“马斯克只可由B类激动多数投票罢董事长或席实行官——而他个东谈主限制该股票类别93.6的股份——推行上保证了他的职位。”正如《金融时报》社论版所言，“传统的理制衡简直缺失……[马斯克]将对投票权和董事会领有简直不行挑战的限制权”。

　　问题加复杂的是，“在其他非典型安排中，SpaceX不规划让其董事会多数成员为立董事”，包括“不使用立董事委员会来决定管薪酬，这是大多数公司的作念法”。马斯克的地位很可能因其在董事会中苍劲一又友的存在而得到自在，包括安东尼奥·格拉西亚斯（Antonio Gracias）和史蒂夫·尤尔韦森（Steve Jurvetson）。据报谈，格拉西亚斯先生和尤尔韦森先生与马斯克先生私情甚密，何况是GPS信号商场的竞争敌手。这激发了公经理担忧，并存在违背反操纵法谢绝关联董事（即公司董事同期担任其竞争敌手董事会成员）的风险。

　　SpaceX还试图放置激动通过法院赢得法律馈赠的路线。凭据其S-1备案文献，SpaceX规划通过强制大多数激动诉讼进入仲裁设施，使马斯克受法律风险——这是个不公开且系统地偏向公司利益的经由。遑急的是，仲裁将是联邦证券法下诉讼的唯采取，因为德克萨斯州贸易法院——SpaceX选的法律争议审理地——对有关联邦证券法莫得统率权，这与S-1中宣称该域法律“尚未敬佩”的说法相悖。天然该条件终可能法实行，但SEC近翻了项历久态度，即IPO中的强制仲裁条件不恰当“全球利益和投资者保护”，这才使这种尝试成为可能。此外，“SpaceX采取了项条件，仅允许持有公司3或以上股份的激动拿起所谓的‘派生’诉讼，代表公司告状董事会或席实行官——就像在利于激动的特拉华州，位小投资者拿起的特斯拉薪酬投诉那样。若是SpaceX达到预期的1.75万亿好意思元估值，告状的激动将需要至少525亿好意思元的股份。”SpaceX还算通过提激动提案门槛来保护马斯克对公司的单面限制权，谢绝其大多数投资者强制在激动大会上进行投票。

　　马斯克先生对SpaceX的权力进程尤其令东谈主担忧，因为他的利益与SpaceX激动和投资者的利益之间不行避地会产生冲突。公司招股说明书也承认了这点：在向SEC提交的改造文献中，SpaceX承认，“改日可能在咱们与马斯克先生偏激领有或关联的实体之间，工作务往还、潜在竞争步履或其他贸易契机等面产生利益冲突。在泛泛业务经由中，咱们与其中些公司进行了各式往还。”它连接写谈：“马斯克先生或其关联可能频频了解到某些贸易契机（如收购契机或本事发展），并可能将这些契机向他们投资的其他企业，在这种情况下，[投资者]可能法了解或法追求此类契机。”招股说明书还详备说明了马斯克先生——手脚对SpaceX负有受托责任的公司董事——如何也可能领有与SpaceX竞争的其他公司的资产：

　　凭据咱们的规矩，马斯克先生偏激关联不受放置地领有与咱们径直或障碍竞争的资产或从奇迹务，何况莫得义务避从事与咱们换取或近似的业务步履或业务线，包括被视为与咱们竞争的业务步履或业务线，或与咱们的任何客户或供应商开展业务。此外，咱们以前曾与马斯克先生关联的实体进行往还，改日也可能连接如斯。咱们可能采取此类往还，而非追求其他些激动可能心爱或可能比咱们采取追求的契机具升值的契机。

　　SpaceX招股说明书的这些条件标明，其IPO将是史上限制大的，也可能领有史上被控制的公司结构。若是IPO以其刻下体式获批，马斯克在SpaceX领有的特且不受抵制的权力将对投资者、商场和公众酿成严重任忧。这次IPO终为改日IPO确立了危急的前例。

　　对被迫投资者和老本商场的影响

　　对于SpaceX的估值和公经理担忧，若是其IPO注册声明的生被加快，将对商场诚信产生要紧担忧。对于挑选和采取特定投资的投资者，他们至少大约避投资于从事风险或不公道行径的公司。但SpaceX的IPO创造了个新的担忧：主要股市指数正在被控制，以迫使指数基金中的数百万投资者——这是种频频成本较低、对散户投资者有劝诱力的投资采取——投资SpaceX，并在莫得采取的情况底下临SpaceX的要紧风险。“分析师估量，在纳入后的几个月内，标普500、纳斯达克100和罗素1000跟踪器将保守地强制买入150亿至300亿好意思元的SpaceX股票，激进的流通股权重情景则会得多”。

　　除上述公开往还股票向散户投资者的额分拨外，SpaceX的IPO还将使被迫和主动投资者齐靠近要紧风险。

　　主要股指有套明确的法则来敬佩是否以及何时纳入新公司。这些法则为股票购买者提供了遑急的投资者保护，使其受新上市IPO的波动和不敬佩影响，并允许商场发现机制在指数纳入之前为公开公司斥地公道价钱。这些法则频频包括谨慎度和可行要求。举例，标普500要求公司在指数纳入前至少公开往还12个月，何况至少训导四个季度实现盈利。

　　但据报谈，SpaceX已游说指数提供商改变其指数纳入法则。指数提供商也照办了，进行了修改，使SpaceX等大型科技公司容易被快速纳入被迫投资者的投资组合。4月，标普谈琼斯指数公司晓谕正在探讨修改法则，以便容易让“大市值”（MegaCap）公司——即股市中大的公司——快速进入其指数。仅就标普500而言，该公司正在探讨的修改包括将法式的12个月IPO后恭候期镌汰至6个月，取消法式的10流通股权要求，并豁大市值公司称心悉数其他公司齐需要称心才能恰当阅历的财务可行法式。2026年6月4日，该公司晓谕销毁拟议的修改，声明“不应仅基于市值授予财务可行、谨慎度和IWF（可投资权重因子）要求的例外”。除标普谈琼斯指数外，尚对于主要指数消灭为SpaceX作念出的修改和例外的大限制报谈。2026年5月1日，纳斯达克100实施了项新的“快速进入”法则，允许按市值名次前40的公司在上市七天就有阅历被纳入。富时罗素（FTSE Russell）也仿了。正如《华尔街日报》报谈的那样，该公司“修改了法则，使新上市的大型公司容易进入其好意思国指数，为被迫投资者快速获取SpaceX和其他备受防止的上市公司的股票开了大门”。

　　指数提供商对新公开募股的不同处理式可能致投资者对股票敞口的预期出现相反。此外，正如位分析师告诫的那样，这些束缚变化的政策“可能在‘被迫’指数之间酿成著的答谢相反”。

　　对于投资于为SpaceX放宽法则的指数基金的投资者，这些修改可能致他们被迫购买数十亿好意思元的SpaceX股票，而他们对此莫得任何发言权。蓦地间，好意思国东谈主的退休储蓄或待业金可能与SpaceX的市值挂钩。股票的渊博将东谈主为其价值，而SpaceX里面东谈主士——收货于允许他们比往常早出售股票的极度法则——将大约飞速抛售其股份，让散户投资者接盘。成果可能是巨大的钞票进取再分拨——即使SpaceX莫得盈利。简而言之，这些修改可能使项金融工程规划得以实施，该规划控制好意思国老本商场以 favor 马斯克先生偏激盟友。正如位《金融时报》指摘员所言，“为什么标普谈琼斯指数公司……似乎在 flirt with 项放宽法则的修改，以允许埃隆·马斯克的卫星到AI公司快速进入？”这是SEC和指数提供商应该向公众回答的问题。

　　成心于SpaceX的修改不仅限于指数——大型资产惩办公司也在作念出改变。2026年6月4日，惩办着16.4万亿好意思元资产的富达投资（Fidelity Investments）“将其SpaceX IPO准入要求从达50万好意思元大幅削减至仅2，000好意思元”，为历史上大的股票秀之向数百万散户投资者掀开了大门。因此，SpaceX新IPO的风险不仅限于大型机构投资者，还将波及微型个东谈主投资者，因为这次IPO似乎缺少频频存在的许多投资者和商场保护。

　　在探讨SpaceX IPO对投资者的风险时，您还必须探讨到，这些风险将因SpaceX股票被纳入主要指数以及通过主要资产惩办公司和投资照拂人向散户投资者洞开而立即被放大。这创造了种情景：刻下SpaceX激动——包括特朗普政府官员——不错在危及好意思国投资者和咱们金融稳定的同期使我方致富。

　　其他需要迟生的问题

　　除对于SpaceX财务暴露、公经理以及控制股市指数以利于自身的诸多担忧外，还有三个其他探讨因素需要迟公司注册文献的生，并要求SEC进行看望。先，存在潜在证券法违纪的问题，即对于SpaceX运行私东谈主备案的泄露。早在SpaceX于2026年4月1日向SEC提交消逝注册声明之前，新闻报谈就佩带了对于招股说明书内容的信息，并激发了投资者意思。若是这些泄露是SpaceX为在IPO前增多商场意思而进行的息争尝试的成果，可能组成证券法5条的违纪，该条件谢绝“跑”（gun-jumping）——在提供注册声明之前出售或宣传股票。法律规则，“除非注册声明对某种证券已生，不然任何东谈主径直或障碍……使用州际贸易或邮件的任何交通或通信技巧或器用，通过任何招股说明书或其他式出售该证券，均属违法。”由于SpaceX在职何注册声明之前就已受到对于上市的人命关天的公众关注，SEC应加强对SpaceX IPO策略的审查，以确保公司未违背5条。

　　其次，存在马斯克先生在X上发布对于公司的声明所激发的商场芜杂问题——X是他也领有的外交媒体平台，当今属于SpaceX的xAI部门。些金融记者合计，这些声明与SpaceX公开备案文献中的业务信息存在实质矛盾。论这些偏差是否要紧，马斯克先生以在X上凭时兴起发布公开声明而驰名，这些声明不错一刹撼动商场。他还以尽管未实现广大的业务筹办却完结多数薪酬案而驰名。若是这种行径模式络续下去，将对SpaceX的简直度产生要紧怀疑，以偏激备案的IPO是否充分奉告投资者与马斯克先生有关的风险。

　　对于证券法违纪和马斯克先生矛盾声明的担忧，足以让SEC迟SpaceX注册声明的生，并允许商场有段镇静期，以地评估SpaceX IPO的合理。

　　论断与问题

　　SpaceX的IPO似乎为激动和改日公开公司上市呈现了特且草创前例的风险。公司的司帐和财务报告存在令东谈主不安的过失，并被本年早些时候发生的大限制且不透明的xAI团结所笼罩。公司的公经理结构将特的权力授予其席实行官，并严重放置激动职权。主要股指在销毁旧法则或制定新法则以允许SpaceX纳入面的共谋，意味着数十亿好意思元的被迫投资将被迫进入该公司，使退休东谈主员和庸碌投资者靠近风险。

　　简而言之，投资者和公众对SpaceX偏激规划如何使用其寻求召募的数十亿好意思元存在稠密未解答的要紧问题。SEC不应在未经严格审查SpaceX财务报表、公经理结构偏激可能对散户投资者（包括通过指数基金）的影响的情况下，加快SpaceX注册声明的生。

　　我要求您在2026年6月23日之前，对以下问题提供详备回应：

　　SEC算如何评估SpaceX对于其估值的主张，基于其对天外旅行、多行星居住和“将剖析之光蔓延到星辰”等主张？请包括对于以底下的具体信息： a． 任何潜在的估起原 b． SpaceX提议的估值（1.75万亿好意思元）与其营收（每年190亿好意思元）之间的相反

　　SEC确保投资者赢得了了准确暴露的规划是什么，尽管存在复杂的司帐问题？请提供对于以底下的具体信息： a． 近期xAI收购的估值 b． 聚会创举东谈主下野的影响 c． SpaceX各子公司（包括辐照、星链和xAI）的营收和亏空，包括星链用户群的行业法式信息 d． 承销银行之间任何潜在的利益冲突 e． SpaceX审计师的严谨和立，包括任何潜在的利益冲突 f． 任何可能对SpaceX股票价值产生要紧影响的预期改日团结或要紧往还

　　SEC是否定为，从消逝备案草案泄露的信息已实质增多了商场对SpaceX次公开募股的意思？

　　鉴于有报谈称消逝备案草案的信息被欠妥泄露，可能组成“跑”，SEC是否探讨过迟SpaceX的次公开募股？

　　SEC在评估IPO时，规划如何探讨SpaceX的公司结构——该结构将简直的限制权授予个东谈主？请提供对于以底下的具体信息： a． 其双重股权结构 b． 埃隆·马斯克对投票权的限制 c． 董事会成员的立，鉴于他们与控股激动马斯克先生的个东谈主和业务联系 d． SpaceX与马斯克先生限制的其他实体之间潜在的利益冲突往还

　　SEC规划如何保护被迫投资者受SpaceX股票的风险，包括： a． 机构投资者（如养老基金），以及 b． 被迫指数基金的激动

　　SEC是否会寻求SpaceX对于州法院对《往还法》索赔统率权论断的法律依据？

　　此致

　　伊丽莎白·沃伦 银行、住房与城市事务委员会 资成员（Ranking Member）

　　TIM SCOTT SOUTH CAROLINA， CHAIRMAN

　　ELIZABETH WARREN MASSACHUSETTS， RANKING MEMBER

　　MIKE CRAPO， IDAHO

　　JACK REED， RHODE ISLAND

　　MIKE ROUNDS， SOUTH DAKOTA

　　MARK R． WARNER， VIRGINIA

　　THOM TILLIS， NORTH CAROLINA

　　CHRIS VAN HOLLEN， MARYLAND

　　JOHN KENNEDY， LOUISIANA

　　CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO， NEVADA

　　BILL HAGERTY， TENNESSEE

　　TINA SMITH， MINNESOTA

　　CYNTHIA LUMMIS， WYOMING

　　RAPHAEL G． WARNOCK， GEORGIA

　　KATIE BOYD BRITT， ALABAMA

　　ANDY KIM， NEW JERSEY

　　PETE RICKETTS， NEBRASKA

　　RUBEN GALLEGO， ARIZONA

　　JIM BANKS， INDIANA

　　LISA BLUNT ROCHESTER， DELAWARE

　　KEVIN CRAMER， NORTH DAKOTA

　　ANGELA D． ALSOBROOKS， MARYLAND

　　BERNIE MORENO， OHIO

　　DAVID McCORMICK， PENNSYLVANIA

　　JANIE FAULKNER， STAFF DIRECTOR

　　JON DONENBERG， DEMOCRATIC STAFF DIRECTOR

　　United States SenateCOMMITTEE ON BANKING， HOUSING， AND URBAN AFFAIRSWASHINGTON， DC 20510-6075

　　June 9， 2026

　　The Honorable Paul Atkins

　　Chair

　　U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission

　　100 F Street NE

　　Washington， DC 20549

　　Dear Chair Atkins，

　　I write with extreme concern regarding the upcoming initial public offering （IPO） of Space Exploration Technologies Corp． （“SpaceX”）． According to reports， SpaceX， an aerospace and artificial intelligence company owned by Elon Musk， seeks to target a valuation of upwards of $2 trillion and raise up to $75 billion from investors in its offering later this month – making it “the largest stock-market debut in history．” However， this IPO appears to present significant risks to ordinary investors and their retirement savings – while carrying enormous advantages for SpaceX insiders， including senior Trump Administration officials．

　　The risks associated with SpaceX‘s public offering are caused by a confluence of concerns revealed by the company’s filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission （“SEC，” or “the Commission”） and other public reporting： first， “SpaceX is expected to offer stock at roughly 100 times 2025 revenue — a valuation multiple with little precedent， and one that requires numerous leaps of faith around both the AI and space theses；” second， a non-traditional governance structure that will leave SpaceX‘s CEO， Elon Musk， with an unprecedented level of power， and investors with significantly fewer rights than those traditionally offered to purchasers of public shares； and third， major stock index providers rewriting their rules to fast track SpaceX’s entry into their indexes — and into the investment funds that power millions of Americans‘ retirement savings．

　　The net result could be disastrous： a scenario where retirees‘ and families’ investment accounts take a hit if SpaceX‘s valuation falters， with little recourse for any corporate misconduct， while the wealthiest man on earth becomes even wealthier due to a lack of oversight． The SEC’s core mission is to protect investors and maintain fair， orderly， and efficient markets． Given the unprecedented threats to investor protection and market integrity posed by the biggest IPO in history， you must delay any eventual acceleration of the registration statement‘s effectiveness accordingly． Before the company is allowed to go public， the SEC must investigate whether index funds and other financial entities involved in SpaceX’s IPO are adequately protecting investors， and the company must fill disclosure gaps related to valuation， ensure risks and details related to its concentrated governance structure are clear to investors， and abandon mandatory arbitration to provide shareholders whose rights are otherwise gutted in this structure a minimum avenue for recourse．

　　SpaceX‘s IPO Process and the SEC’s Role

　　SpaceX has been privately held since its founding by Elon Musk in 2002， raising approximately $9 billion in equity capital through private markets． Remaining private has allowed Mr． Musk to retain extensive control over the company． Mr． Musk， in addition to being the founder， serves as Chief Executive Officer， Chief Technology Officer， and Chairman of the Board， in addition to being the controlling shareholder． Earlier this year， SpaceX combined with another privately held company founded and controlled by Mr． Musk， xAI， in “the biggest merger in history．．． to create a $1.25 trillion giant．” SpaceX filed its IPO registration statement with the SEC on May 20， 2026， having reportedly filed a confidential registration around April 1， 2026． If the SpaceX IPO goes through at the target valuations， the “blockbuster listing will unlock vast new wealth for SpaceX executives and investors ．．． But all of the holdings pale in comparison to the riches that Musk will unlock． He holds [vested shares] which could be worth about $700bn． A successful listing could see him become the world‘s first trillionaire．”

　　Before allowing a company to sell its shares to the public， the Commission is required to consider “the public interest and the protection of investors．” In so doing， the Commission may review the company‘s preliminary prospectus “for compliance with the applicable accounting standards and the disclosure requirements of the federal securities laws and regulations．” The massive size of the SpaceX IPO alone， under normal circumstances， would justify careful SEC review and attention to investor needs． But these are not normal circumstances： a number of additional factors exacerbate concerns and require action by the SEC to meet its investor protection and market integrity mandates by delaying the effectiveness of SpaceX’s registration statement．

　　SpaceX‘s Valuation and Accounting

　　The value of SpaceX shares – now and in the foreseeable future – appears to be based on a uniquely speculative series of events． According to the Financial Times， SpaceX‘s finances today “are of no use in working out what the company is worth，” in part because of the inherent challenge of valuing activities that don’t yet exist but could be part of the growth of a company whose lofty mission is to “extend the light of consciousness to the stars．” According to a report from Morningstar， SpaceX may be worth less than half of the $1.75 trillion valuation it seeks．

　　Indeed， “[a]t the valuation of $1.75tn previously reported by Financial Times， SpaceX would be the U.S． stock market‘s seventh-largest company． However， when ranked by its revenue of $19 billion a year， it would be 200th， on par with Lucky Charms cereal maker General Mills．” The market has “never before had to price a stock so speculative yet so large，” and “[t]he big question is whether a valuation as large as $1.8 trillion can be sustained in public markets．” Part of the problem is the impossibility of accurately valuing SpaceX’s lofty goals， including space travel and interplanetary habitation． But it is also the product of the company‘s consistent negative profitability， and on its failure to meet past goals． As a result， market analysts have raised concerns about the math underlying SpaceX’s target valuation， calling it “nonsensical，” “smoke-and-mirrors accounting，” and “truly out of this world．” If that valuation cannot be sustained， the investors who have chosen to buy in at lofty valuations – or will be forced to do so because of their investments in index funds， that are themselves based on indexes that have amended their rules to include SpaceX – will pay the price．

　　Additionally， the IPO‘s value is set in part by SpaceX’s 2026 merger with xAI． Since Elon Musk was on both sides of the transaction， “he negotiate[d] the deal with himself， set the relative valuations himself， sign[ed] the merger agreement， close[d] the deal， and then [told] the boards and shareholders about it．” This gave Mr． Musk an opportunity to inflate the valuation of xAI in excess of its assets – in other words， unilaterally deciding the value of his own transaction – and roll this into the upcoming IPO． The SEC should evaluate whether transactions and other relationships between SpaceX and xAI （as well as the full web of other companies under Elon Musk‘s control） present risks to investors from inaccurate or misleading accounting or valuation． Given the range of both active and passive investors who will be exposed to SpaceX’s risk， valuations that are not supported by fundamentals may threaten the integrity and stability of our capital markets．

　　The SpaceX-xAI merger is one in a series of common-control transactions between different business entities controlled by Mr． Musk – raising questions about any future plans SpaceX might have to integrate with Musk-controlled firms． For example， should Tesla and SpaceX merge as the business press has speculated， it could instantly trigger Mr． Musk‘s $1 trillion Tesla pay package due to a change in control provision that voids the performance conditions previously required to unlock the shares． Converting these new Tesla shares into new SpaceX shares could have significant implications for SpaceX shareholders． If plans do in fact exist to merge Tesla and SpaceX， such plans should be disclosed to prospective investors， as they should be considered materially important to the business strategy of the company and subsequent value of the public offering． Given that SpaceX’s S-1 makes no mention of the effect such a merger would have on SpaceX‘s valuation – even as it acknowledges that business transactions with Mr． Musk’s other ventures may occur – the SEC should conduct a thorough inquiry into Mr． Musk‘s future intentions regarding the ownership structure of his many powerful businesses before accelerating the effectiveness of SpaceX’s registration statement．

　　Post-IPO Corporate Governance

　　The IPO also poses concerns because SpaceX‘s post-IPO governance structure erodes fundamental shareholder rights and vests an extraordinary level of corporate power in Mr． Musk． Publicly traded companies are meant to be accountable to their shareholders． The SpaceX IPO will flip this model on its head， with shareholders providing billions of dollars in new capital with no accountability measures for Mr． Musk or company leadership， as the company “[combines] supervoting shares， mandatory arbitration， stricter rules on shareholder proposals and Texas corporate law to give control to SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and other insiders． SpaceX also will limit investors’ ability to challenge management， sue in court， and force proxy contests．”

　　As leading corporate law scholars put it， “even Musk admirers should be troubled by SpaceX‘s governance．”

　　SpaceX‘s preliminary prospectus indicates that the company will maintain a dual-class share structure， with each share held by Mr． Musk holding 10 times as much voting power as a share of the class offered to the public． Such asymmetry will deny shareholders any power over major corporate decisions like acquisitions， divestments， or restructuring． As the company’s prospectus admits， “Mr． Musk will be able to control the outcome of matters requiring shareholder approval．” In addition， the proposed governance structure essentially eliminates the Board of Directors‘ authority to manage the company， stripping it of the ability to fire the Chief Executive Officer： “Musk can only be removed as chair or chief executive by a majority vote of the class B shareholders — and personally controls 93.6 per cent of the share class — in effect guaranteeing his position．” As the editorial board of the Financial Times put it， “[t]raditional governance checks are almost entirely absent．．．． [Musk] will have a virtually unchallengeable grip on voting rights and the board．”

　　Compounding the problem is that “among [other] atypical arrangements，铁皮保温施工 SpaceX does not plan to have the majority of its board be independent directors，” including “not us[ing] a committee of independent board members to determine executive compensation， as most companies do．” Musk‘s position is likely to be entrenched by the presence of his powerful friends on the board of directors， including Antonio Gracias and Steve Jurvetson． Mr． Gracias and Mr． Jurvetson are reportedly personally close to Mr． Musk and competitors in the market for GPS signals． This raises corporate governance concerns， and runs the risk of violating antitrust laws banning interlocking directorates in which corporate directors sit on the boards of their competitors．

　　SpaceX is also attempting to limit shareholders‘ access to the courts for legal remedies． According to its S-1 filing， SpaceX plans to insulate Musk from legal risk by forcing most shareholders’ suits into arbitration， a process hidden from public view and systematically tilted in favor of the company‘s interests． Importantly， arbitration would be the only option for suits under federal securities law， because the Texas Business Court – SpaceX’s preferred forum for legal disputes – does not have jurisdiction over the relevant federal securities laws， contrary to the S-1‘s assertion that the law in this area is “unsettled．” While the provision may not ultimately be enforceable， such an attempt has been made possible by the SEC’s recent reversal of a longstanding position that forced arbitration clauses in IPOs were not in “the public interest and protection of investors．” Furthermore， “SpaceX has opted for a provision that allows only shareholders holding 3 per cent or more of a company‘s shares to bring a so-called ’derivative‘ lawsuit on behalf of the company suing the board or chief executive， like the Tesla pay complaint filed by a tiny investor in the more shareholder-hospitable Delaware． Should SpaceX hit its expected $1.75tn valuation， a suing shareholder would need a stake of at least $52.5bn．” SpaceX also intends to protect Musk’s unilateral control over the company by raising the threshold for shareholder proposals， prohibiting most of its investors from forcing a vote at a shareholder meeting．

　　The degree of Mr． Musk‘s power over SpaceX is especially concerning because of the conflicts that will inevitably arise between his interests and those of SpaceX’s shareholders and investors． The company‘s prospectus says as much： In its amended filing with the SEC， SpaceX admits that “[c]onflicts of interest could arise in the future between us， on the one hand， and Mr． Musk and entities owned by or affiliated with him， on the other hand， concerning among other things， business transactions， potential competitive activities or other business opportunities． In the normal course of business， we have engaged in a variety of transactions with some of these companies．” It continues： “Mr． Musk or his affiliates may become aware， from time to time， of certain business opportunities （such as acquisition opportunities or technological developments） and may direct such opportunities to other businesses in which they have invested， in which case [investors] may not become aware of or otherwise have the ability to pursue such opportunity．” The prospectus also details how Mr． Musk – a corporate director with fiduciary obligations to SpaceX – may also own assets in other companies that compete with SpaceX：

　　Under our charter， Mr． Musk and his affiliates are not restricted from owning assets or engaging in businesses that compete directly or indirectly with us and will not have any duty to refrain from engaging， directly or indirectly， in the same or similar business activities or lines of business as us， including those business activities or lines of business deemed to be competing with us， or doing business with any of our customers or vendors． Moreover， we have in the past entered into， and may in the future enter into， transactions with entities affiliated with Mr． Musk． We may enter into such transactions in lieu of pursuing other opportunities that some other shareholders may prefer or that may prove to be more accretive than the opportunities we elect to pursue．

　　These provisions of SpaceX‘s prospectus indicate that its IPO will be the biggest in history and may also have the most rigged corporate structure in history． Should the IPO be approved in its current form， the uniquely unchecked power Musk will have at SpaceX creates serious concerns for investors， markets， and the public at large． This IPO ultimately sets a dangerous precedent for future IPOs．

　　Effects on Passive Investors and the Capital Markets

　　The valuation and corporate governance concerns regarding SpaceX raise significant concerns about market integrity should its IPO‘s effectiveness be accelerated． For investors who pick and choose their specific investments， they at least are able to avoid investing in companies that engage in risky or unfair practices． But the SpaceX IPO creates a new concern： that major stock market indexes are being rigged in a way that would force millions of investors in passive index funds – a generally lower cost investment option that can be attractive to retail investors – to invest in SpaceX and face exposure to SpaceX’s significant risks with no choice in the matter． “Analysts estimate conservative forced buying of $15 billion to $30 billion across S&P 500， Nasdaq-100 and Russell 1000 trackers in the months after inclusion， with more aggressive float-weighted scenarios running far higher．”

　　In addition to the above-average allocation of publicly traded stocks to retail investors， SpaceX‘s IPO will expose both passive and active investors to significant risk．

　　Major stock indexes have a clear set of rules to determine whether and when to add new companies． These rules provide important investor protections for stock purchasers from the volatility and uncertainty of newly-public IPOs and allow market discovery to establish a fair price for public companies prior to index inclusion． The rules typically include seasoning and viability requirements． For example， the S&P 500 has required that companies be publicly traded for at least twelve months and have at least four quarters of positive income prior to index inclusion．

　　But SpaceX has reportedly lobbied index providers to change the rules for inclusion on their indices． And the index providers have complied， with changes that would make it easier for large technology companies like SpaceX to be fast-tracked into passive investors‘ portfolios． In April， S&P Dow Jones announced it was considering changes to its rules to more easily enable “MegaCap” companies – the largest companies on the stock market – to be fast-tracked onto its indexes． For the S&P 500 alone， the firm was considering changes that included reducing the standard 12-month post-IPO waiting period to six months， eliminating the standard 10 percent float requirements， and exempting MegaCap companies from the financial viability criteria that all other companies are expected to meet in order to qualify． On June 4， 2026， the company announced it was foregoing the proposed changes， stating that “exceptions to the financial viability， seasoning， and IWF （investable weight factor） requirements should not be granted solely based on market capitalization．” Other than S&P Dow Jones， there has not been reporting of major indexes reversing changes and exceptions to long-standing rules that will be made for SpaceX． On May 1， 2026， the Nasdaq 100 implemented a new “fast entry” rule， which would allow companies in the top 40 by market capitalization to be eligible for inclusion on their seventh day of trading． FTSE Russell has followed suit． As the Wall Street Journal reports， the firm “changed its rules to make it easier for freshly minted megacaps to enter its U.S． indexes， opening the door for passive investors to quickly access shares in SpaceX and other high-profile listings．”

　　A divergence among index providers‘ approaches to new public offerings may lead to different investor expectations around stock exposure． Additionally， as one analyst warned， these shifting policies “could create significant return dispersion [between] ’passive‘ indexes．”

　　For investors in index funds that do bend the rules for SpaceX， the changes may lead to the forced purchase of billions of dollars of SpaceX stock without them having any say in the matter． Suddenly， American retirement savings or pensions may be tied to SpaceX‘s market capitalization． The stock’s ubiquity would artificially jack up its value， and SpaceX insiders – thanks to special rules allowing them to sell their shares sooner than usual – would be able to quickly sell off their shares， leaving retail investors holding the bag． What results could be a massive upward redistribution of wealth – even should SpaceX not be profitable． In short， these changes may enable a scheme of financial engineering that rigs America‘s capital markets in favor of Mr． Musk and his allies． As one Financial Times commentator put it， “Why on earth is [S&P Dow Jones Indices]．．． seemingly flirting with a rule-bending change to allow Elon Musk’s satellites-to-AI company a quick entry？” This is a question the SEC and the index providers should answer for the public．

　　Changes benefitting SpaceX are not limited to indexes – they are also being made by large asset managers． On June 4， 2026， Fidelity Investments， a firm with $16.4 trillion in administered assets， “slashed its SpaceX IPO entry requirement from as much as $500，000 to just $2，000，” opening one of the biggest stock debuts in history to millions of retail investors． The risk from SpaceX‘s new IPO will therefore not be limited to large institutional investors， but also small individual investors as the IPO appears to lack many of the investor and market protections that are typically in place．

　　As you consider the risks to investors from SpaceX‘s IPO， you must also factor that such risks will be immediately magnified by the inclusion of SpaceX stock on the major indexes and its availability to retail investors through major asset managers and investment advisors． This creates a scenario where current SpaceX shareholders – including senior Trump Administration officials – can enrich themselves while endangering American investors and the stability of our financial markets．

　　Other Issues Warranting Delayed Effectiveness

　　In addition to the multitude of concerns regarding SpaceX‘s financial disclosures， corporate governance， and efforts to rig stock market indexes in its favor， three other considerations warrant delaying the effectiveness of the company’s registration documents and demand thorough investigation from the SEC． First， there is the matter of potential Securities Act violations in the form of leaks regarding SpaceX‘s initial private filing． Well before SpaceX’s confidential SEC registration statement was filed on April 1， 2026， news reports carried information about the contents of the prospectus and generated investor interest． If these leaks were the result of a coordinated attempt by SpaceX to increase market interest in advance of an IPO， it might constitute a violation of Section 5 of the Securities Act， which prohibits “gun-jumping” – selling or publicizing shares before a registration statement has been provided． The law provides that “Unless a registration statement is in effect as to a security， it shall be unlawful for any person， directly or indirectly ．．． to make use of any means or instruments of transportation or communication in interstate commerce or of the mails to sell such security through the use or medium of any prospectus or otherwise．” Because of the extraordinary publicity surrounding SpaceX going public in the advance of any registration statement， the SEC should increase scrutiny of SpaceX‘s IPO tactics to ensure that the company has not violated Section 5．

　　Second， there is the market confusion that has ensued from Mr． Musk making statements regarding the company on X – the social media platform he also owns， now under the xAI segment of SpaceX． It appears to some financial journalists that these statements materially contradict business information included in SpaceX‘s public filing． Whether or not the deviations are material， Mr． Musk is well-known to have a propensity to make public statements on X on whims that can instantly move markets． He is also known to cash out on large pay packages despite not meeting lofty business goals． If this pattern of behavior continues， it casts significant doubt on SpaceX’s credibility， and whether its IPO as filed sufficiently informs investors of the risks involved with Mr． Musk．

　　Concerns regarding a Securities Act violation and contradictory statements made by Mr． Musk give enough reason for the SEC to delay the effectiveness of SpaceX‘s registration， and allow the markets a cooling-off period to more thoroughly evaluate the soundness of SpaceX’s IPO．

　　Conclusion and Questions

　　The SpaceX IPO appears to present a unique and precedent-setting risk for shareholders and future public company offerings． The company‘s accounting and financial reports contain troubling gaps， and are clouded by the massive and opaque xAI merger that occurred earlier this year． The company’s corporate governance structure vests unique power in its CEO and severely limits shareholders‘ rights． And the complicity of major stock indices in waiving old rules or creating new ones to allow SpaceX’s inclusion means that billions of dollars of passive investments will be forced into the company， putting retirees and ordinary investors at risk．

　　In short， there are a multitude of unanswered material questions investors and the public have about SpaceX and what it is likely to do with the billions it seeks to raise． The SEC should not accelerate the effectiveness of SpaceX‘s registration without serious scrutiny of SpaceX’s financial statements， governance structure， and the impact it may have on retail investors， including through index funds．

　　I request detailed answers to the following questions no later than June 23， 2026：

　　How does the SEC intend to evaluate SpaceX‘s claims about its valuation on the basis of its claims regarding such things as space travel， multiplanetary habitation， and “extending the light of consciousness to the stars”？ Please include specific information about： a． Any potential sources of overvaluation b． The discrepancy between SpaceX’s proffered valuation （$1.75 trillion） and its revenues （$19 billion per year）

　　What is the SEC‘s plan to ensure investors receive clear and accurate disclosures despite complex accounting issues？ Please provide specific information about： a． The valuation of the recent xAI acquisition b． The impact of co-founder departures c． The revenues and losses of each of SpaceX’s subsidiaries， including Launch， Starlink， and xAI， including industry-standard information on Starlink‘s subscriber base d． Any potential conflicts of interest among underwriting banks e． The rigor and independence of SpaceX’s auditors， including any potential conflicts of interest f． Any intended future mergers or major transactions that could have a material effect on the value of SpaceX stock

　　Does the SEC believe that leaked information from the draft confidential filing has substantially increased market interest in SpaceX‘s initial public offering？

　　Has the SEC considered delaying SpaceX‘s initial public offering， given reports that information from the draft confidential filing was leaked improperly and could be considered “gun-jumping”？

　　How does the SEC plan to account for SpaceX‘s corporate structure， which vests nearly complete control in one person， in its evaluation of the IPO？ Please provide specific information about： a． Its dual-class share structure b． Elon Musk’s control of voting shares c． The independence of board members， given their personal and business relationships with Musk， the controlling shareholder d． Potential conflicted transactions between SpaceX and other entities Musk controls

　　What does the SEC plan to do to protect passive investors from the risks of SpaceX stock， including： a． Institutional investors （like pension funds）， and b． Stockholders of passive index funds

　　Will the SEC seek the legal basis for SpaceX‘s conclusion that the jurisdiction of state courts over Exchange Act claims is unsettled？

　　Sincerely，

　　[Signature]

　　Elizabeth Warren

　　Ranking Member

　　Committee on Banking， Housing， and Urban Affairs

　　Footnotes：

　　Bloomberg， “What to Know About the SpaceX IPO，” Anthony Hughes， May 29， 2026， https：//www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-29/what-to-know-about-the-spacex-ipo．

　　Bloomberg， “Trump Officials Held Millions of Dollars of SpaceX Ahead of IPO，” Annie Massa， Sophie Alexander， and Bill Allison， June 3， 2026， https：//www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-03/spacex-ipo-poised-to-enrich-trump-officials-who-hold-millions-in-stock．

　　Financial Times， “More takeaways from an S-1 for the ages，” Craig Coben， May 26， 2026．

　　Bloomberg， “SpaceX‘s Capital Needs Are Out of This World” Chris Bryant， June 3， 2026， https：//www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-06-03/spacex-ipo-elon-musk-capital-needs-are-out-of-this-world．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， https：//www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026039276/spaceexplorationtechnologi.htm．

　　New York Times， “The Numbers， and Questions， Behind Musk‘s Mega-Merger，” Andrew Ross Sorkin et al．， February 3， 2026， https：//www.nytimes.com/2026/02/03/business/dealbook/spacex-xai-merger.html．

　　SpaceX， Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， May 20， 2026， https：//www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026036936/spaceexplorationtechnologi.htm．

　　Reuters， “SpaceX files for IPO， sources say， offering investors stake in Musk‘s space ambitions，” Echo Wang， Manya Saini， and Joey Roulette， April 1， 2026， https：//www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/spacex-registers-take-rocket-maker-public-blockbuster-ipo-bloomberg-news-reports-2026-04-01/．

　　Financial Times， “Inside SpaceX‘s audacious IPO plan，” Ryan McMorrow et al．， May 20， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/a59be3cf-eee2-4b10-9c86-b6e4dc0dbbdb？syn-25a6b1a6=1．

　　15 U.S.C． § 77h； 17 C.F.R． § 230.461（b）．

　　U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， “Filing Review Process，” Sept． 27， 2019．

　　Financial Times， “How to make sense of SpaceX‘s nonsensical valuation，” May 21， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/58fcca43-9195-49e2-b1c3-0e3bfb0147cd？syn-25a6b1a6=1．

　　CNBC， “SpaceX is worth less than half of its $1.75 trillion IPO target， Morningstar says，” Joseph Wilkins， June 3， 2026， https：//www.cnbc.com/2026/06/03/morningstar-spacex-ipo-target-price-nasdaq.html．

　　Financial Times， “How to make sense of SpaceX‘s nonsensical valuation，” May 21， 2026．

　　Id．

　　Bloomberg， “What to Know About the SpaceX IPO，” Anthony Hughes， May 29， 2026．

　　Fortune， “Top analyst has harsh words for SpaceX debut： ‘We recommend that investors avoid this IPO’，” Shawn Tully， May 29， 2026， https：//fortune.com/2026/05/29/spacex-ipo-should-i-buy-bear-case-david-trainer/．

　　New York Times， “How SpaceX Is Structured to Favor Elon Musk，” Ryan Mac， May 26， 2026， https：//www.nytimes.com/2026/05/26/technology/spacex-elon-musk-pay-board-governance.html．

　　Financial Times， “How to make sense of SpaceX‘s nonsensical valuation，” May 21， 2026．

　　The Motley Fool， “Honestly， the SpaceX Prospectus Is Far Worse Than I Imagined，” Sean Williams， May 26， 2026， https：//www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/26/the-spacex-prospectus-is-far-worse-than-i-imagined/．

　　Fortune， “Top analyst has harsh words for SpaceX debut： ‘We recommend that investors avoid this IPO’，” Shawn Tully， May 29， 2026．

　　Bloomberg， “Musk‘s Moonshot Merger，” Matt Levine， February 3， 2026．

　　Forbes， “Elon Musk，” https：//www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/．

　　Fortune， “Elon Musk‘s SpaceX buys xAI in stunning deal valued at $1.25 trillion ahead of looming IPO，” Amanda Gerut， February 2， 2026， https：//fortune.com/2026/02/02/elon-musk-spacex-xai-ipo-trillion/．

　　Forbes， “Could Musk Merge SpaceX And Tesla？ Here‘s What Analysts—And Betting Markets—Say，” Ty Roush， May 27， 2026， https：//www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2026/05/27/could-musk-merge-spacex-and-tesla-heres-what-analysts-and-betting-markets-say/； CNBC， “Will Elon Musk eventually merge SpaceX with Tesla？ Speculation is building，” Ananya Chetia， May 21， 2026， https：//www.cnbc.com/2026/05/21/will-elon-musk-eventually-merge-spacex-with-tesla-speculation-builds.html．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “SpaceX-Tesla Merger Could Trigger Elon Musk‘s $1 Trillion Pay Package： Report，” Badar Shaikh， June 2， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-tesla-merger-could-trigger-123106691.html．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， p． 57．

　　Reuters， “The SpaceX IPO and the lost battle for shareholder rights，” Ross Kerber， May 13， 2026， https：//www.reuters.com/sustainability/sustainable-finance-reporting/spacex-ipo-lost-battle-shareholder-rights-rosskerber-2026-05-13/．

　　Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance， “Even Musk Admirers Should Be Troubled by SpaceX‘s Governance，” Lucian Bebchuk and Kobi Kastiel， June 2， 2026， https：//corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2026/06/02/even-musk-admirers-should-be-troubled-by-spacexs-governance/．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， p． 2．

　　Id．

　　Financial Times， “Inside SpaceX‘s audacious IPO plan，” Ryan McMorrow et al．， May 20， 2026．

　　Financial Times， Editorial， “To infinity and beyond， with the SpaceX IPO，” May 22， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/0e5ab16c-957e-44d6-aa16-fe23412ef6df？syn-25a6b1a6=1．

　　New York Times， “How SpaceX Is Structured to Favor Elon Musk，” Ryan Mac， May 26， 2026．

　　Wall Street Journal， “The Money and Drugs That Tie Elon Musk to Some Tesla Directors，” Kirsten Grind et al．， February 3， 2024， https：//www.wsj.com/tech/elon-musk-tesla-money-drugs-board-61af9ac4．

　　“XONA Space Systems — Powerful Precise GPS，” Steve Jurvetson， May 8， 2024， https：//steve.blog/2024/05/08/xona-space-systems-powerful-precise-gps/； PR Newswire， “Xona Raises $92M to Rebuild Satellite Navigation for a New Era，” June 26， 2025， https：//www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/xona-raises-92m-to-rebuild-satellite-navigation-for-a-new-era-302491586.html； PC Magazine， “SpaceX to FCC： We Can Supply a GPS Alternative Through Starlink，” Michael Kan， May 14， 2025， https：//www.pcmag.com/news/spacex-to-fcc-we-can-supply-a-gps-alternative-through-starlink．

　　15 U.S.C． § 19．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， pp． 63-64．

　　New York Times， “How SpaceX Is Structured to Favor Elon Musk，” Ryan Mac， May 26， 2026； Capital Forum， “Transcript of Conference Call on Forced Arbitration and Corporate Power in the Courts with Brendan Ballou，” May 12， 2026， https：//thecapitolforum.com/resource/transcript-of-conference-call-on-forced-arbitration-and-corporate-power-in-the-courts-with-brendan-ballou/．

　　15 U.S.C． § 78aa （giving federal courts exclusive jurisdiction over claims brought under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934）．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， p． 63．

　　U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， “Sunshine Act Notice，” September 10， 2025， https：//www.sec.gov/newsroom/meetings-events/sunshine-act-notice-open-meeting-091725．

　　Financial Times， “SpaceX to drive a Cybertruck through corporate governance norms，” Sujeet Indap， May 26， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/7f34d58b-da81-4778-bca1-7aa89b08afca？syn-25a6b1a6=1．

　　Reuters， “The SpaceX IPO and the lost battle for shareholder rights，” Ross Kerber， May 13， 2026； TradingKey， “SpaceX IPO： Musk Controls 85.1 Voting Power， Shareholders Waive Jury Trials and Class Actions，” Jay Qian， May 21， 2026， https：//www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/261919584-elonmusk-spacex-ipo-tradingkey．

　　SpaceX， Amendment No． 1 to Form S-1， U.S． Securities and Exchange Commission， June 1， 2026， p． 57．

　　Id．

　　Id．

　　Social Science Research Network， “The Growth and Consequences of Index Investing，” Anne-Florence Allard et al．， January 12， 2026， https：//papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm？abstract_id=6056574．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “SpaceX IPO could hit popular index funds — and your 401（k） — in as little as 5 trading days as indexes relax their rules，” Rudro Chakrabarti， June 1， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-ipo-could-hit-popular-101500534.html．

　　Id．

　　Bloomberg， “Index Funds Can‘t Say No to SpaceX，” Matt Levine， May 26， 2026， https：//www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-05-26/index-funds-can-t-say-no-to-spacex； Financial Times， “Et tu， S&P 500？，” March 26， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/59adbe42-ca30-47f3-9cda-5415945e9368．

　　Business Insider， “Here‘s when SpaceX could show up in major indexes and popular ETFs after its IPO，” Naomi Buchanan， May 24， 2026， https：//www.businessinsider.com/spacex-ipo-index-investing-etfs-spy-vti-qqq-spcx-stock-2026-5； CNBC， “Elon Musk’s SpaceX weighs Nasdaq listing after seeking early index entry， Reuters sources say，” March 10， 2026， https：//www.cnbc.com/2026/03/10/elon-musks-spacex-weighs-nasdaq-listing-after-seeking-early-index-entry.html．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “Elon Musk‘s SpaceX Could Be Fast-Tracked Into S&P 500 After IPO Under Proposed Rule Changes，” Badir Shaikh， May 2， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/elon-musks-spacex-could-fast-180121306.html．

　　Bloomberg， “Index Funds Can‘t Say No to SpaceX，” Matt Levine， May 26， 2026．

　　Id．

　　S&P Dow Jones Indices， “S&P Dow Jones Indices Consultation on Treatment of MegaCap Companies，” press release， April 30， 2026， https：//www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20260430-1483123/1483123_spdji-us-indices-megacaps-consult-20260430.pdf．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “SpaceX Faces Delay to S&P 500 Inclusion After Index Provider Keeps Existing Criteria （SPCX），” Fiona Craig， June 5， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-faces-delay-p-500-100109864.html．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “Buckle Up， S&P 500 and Nasdaq Index Fund Investors． SpaceX Could Soon Become 1 of Your Largest Positions，” Daniel Foelber， May 31， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/buckle-p-500-nasdaq-index-162000546.html．

　　FTSE Russell， “Consultation for the Russell US Equity Indexes on the timing of IPOs and the treatment of companies with a high free float market capitalization，” February 2026．

　　Wall Street Journal， “FTSE Russell Latest to Make U.S． Index Inclusion Easier Ahead of SpaceX IPO，” Joe Stonor， May 27， 2026， https：//www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/ftse-russell-latest-to-make-u-s-index-inclusion-easier-ahead-of-spacex-ipo-35157adf．

　　Post on X by Eric Balchunas， June 4， 2026， https：//x.com/EricBalchunas/status/2062647912065044532？s=20．

　　CNBC， “SpaceX insiders will get to sell shares earlier than usual after the IPO，” Leslie Picker， May 21， 2026， https：//www.cnbc.com/2026/05/21/spacex-insiders-will-get-to-sell-shares-earlier-than-usual-after-the-ipo.html．

　　Financial Times， “Et tu， S&P 500？，” Robin Wigglesworth， March 26， 2026， https：//www.ft.com/content/59adbe42-ca30-47f3-9cda-5415945e9368．

　　RIABiz， “Fidelity soars to $16.4 trillion of assets， a 16 jump of $2.3 trillion for 12 months， and widens gap on BlackRock and Schwab，” Brooke Southall， August 14， 2025， https：//riabiz.com/a/2025/8/15/fidelity-soars-to-164-trillion-of-assets-a-16-jump-of-23-trillion-for-12-months-and-widens-gap-on-blackrock-and-schwab．

　　Yahoo！ Finance， “Fidelity Cuts SpaceX IPO Eligibility by 99， But 5 Rules Could Cost You Access，” Lockridge Okoth， June 4， 2026， https：//finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/fidelity-cuts-spacex-ipo-eligibility-183319186.html．

　　Bloomberg， “Trump Officials Held Millions of Dollars of SpaceX Ahead of IPO，” Annie Massa， Sophie Alexander， and Bill Allison， June 3， 2026．

　　New York Times， “SpaceX Files to Go Public， Setting Stage for Huge I.P.O．，” Ryan Mac， Lauren Hirsch， and Maureen Farrell， April 1， 2026， https：//www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/technology/spacex-ipo-elon-musk.html．

　　See， e.g．， Reuters， “Exclusive： Elon Musk‘s SpaceX weighs Nasdaq listing after seeking early index entry， sources say，” Anirban Sen and Echo Wang， March 10， 2026， https：//www.reuters.com/business/finance/elon-musks-spacex-weighs-nasdaq-listing-after-seeking-early-index-entry-sources-2026-03-10/； Reuters， “Exclusive： Musk rewrites IPO playbook with large slice of SpaceX stock for retail investors， source says，” Echo Wang， Milana Vinn， and Sabrina Valle， March 26， 2026， https：//www.reuters.com/business/finance/musk-rewrites-ipo-playbook-with-large-slice-spacex-stock-retail-investors-source-2026-03-26/．

　　Cornell Law School Legal Information Institute， “Gun Jumping，” https：//www.law.cornell.edu/wex/gun_jumping．

　　15 U.S.C． § 77e； 17 C.F.R． § 230.135．

　　Forbes， “Elon Musk‘s xAI Buys X — Here’s What That Means For You，” Kate O‘Flaherty， March 31， 2025， https：//www.forbes.com/sites/kateoflahertyuk/2025/03/31/elon-musks-xai-buys-x-heres-what-that-means-for-you/．

　　CNBC， “SpaceX skeptics have added reason for concern after Musk comments diverge from IPO filing，” Lora Kolodny， May 29， 2026， https：//www.cnbc.com/2026/05/29/spacex-skeptics-concerned-as-musk-comments-diverge-from-ipo-filing.html．

　　CNBC， “Elon Musk‘s tweets are moving markets — and some investors are worried，” Sam Shead， January 29， 2021．

　　New York Times， “How SpaceX Is Structured to Favor Elon Musk，” Ryan Mac， May 26， 2026． 海量资讯、解读，尽在财经APP

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